Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000203 0.000227 0.000253 0.000283 0.000316 0.000351 0.000393
2025-02-23 0.000168 0.000200 0.000236 0.000281 0.000335 0.000396 0.000473
2025-03-02 0.000140 0.000176 0.000219 0.000276 0.000346 0.000432 0.000545
2025-03-09 0.000120 0.000159 0.000208 0.000274 0.000361 0.000472 0.000625
2025-03-16 0.000106 0.000146 0.000199 0.000274 0.000377 0.000514 0.000711
2025-03-23 0.000095 0.000136 0.000192 0.000275 0.000393 0.000557 0.000802
2025-03-30 0.000085 0.000126 0.000184 0.000273 0.000405 0.000594 0.000887
2025-04-06 0.000077 0.000119 0.000179 0.000275 0.000421 0.000637 0.000985
2025-04-13 0.000071 0.000112 0.000174 0.000275 0.000435 0.000679 0.001082
2025-04-20 0.000064 0.000104 0.000167 0.000271 0.000441 0.000708 0.001164
2025-04-27 0.000061 0.000102 0.000168 0.000280 0.000469 0.000774 0.001308
2025-05-04 0.000058 0.000099 0.000167 0.000285 0.000490 0.000829 0.001439
2025-05-11 0.000054 0.000095 0.000164 0.000288 0.000509 0.000885 0.001580
2025-05-18 0.000049 0.000090 0.000159 0.000288 0.000521 0.000931 0.001710
2025-05-25 0.000045 0.000084 0.000152 0.000282 0.000525 0.000962 0.001814
2025-06-01 0.000041 0.000079 0.000147 0.000281 0.000535 0.001005 0.001946
2025-06-08 0.000039 0.000076 0.000144 0.000281 0.000549 0.001056 0.002096
2025-06-15 0.000036 0.000072 0.000141 0.000282 0.000565 0.001111 0.002261
2025-06-22 0.000034 0.000069 0.000137 0.000280 0.000574 0.001155 0.002406
2025-06-29 0.000032 0.000066 0.000135 0.000282 0.000590 0.001214 0.002586
2025-07-06 0.000030 0.000064 0.000132 0.000282 0.000604 0.001269 0.002764
2025-07-13 0.000028 0.000060 0.000128 0.000278 0.000608 0.001303 0.002902
2025-07-20 0.000027 0.000060 0.000130 0.000288 0.000642 0.001405 0.003195